Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000474 0.000529 0.000590 0.000664 0.000750 0.000848 0.000970
2025-01-12 0.000378 0.000450 0.000537 0.000651 0.000799 0.000990 0.001260
2025-01-19 0.000333 0.000415 0.000521 0.000671 0.000884 0.001187 0.001671
2025-01-26 0.000286 0.000367 0.000478 0.000643 0.000894 0.001279 0.001956
2025-02-02 0.000260 0.000344 0.000462 0.000647 0.000947 0.001443 0.002409
2025-02-09 0.000243 0.000330 0.000457 0.000665 0.001021 0.001658 0.003038
2025-02-16 0.000228 0.000317 0.000450 0.000678 0.001091 0.001883 0.003786
2025-02-23 0.000218 0.000309 0.000451 0.000703 0.001184 0.002178 0.004861
2025-03-02 0.000206 0.000297 0.000442 0.000709 0.001243 0.002422 0.005960
2025-03-09 0.000192 0.000280 0.000424 0.000697 0.001262 0.002581 0.006924
2025-03-16 0.000182 0.000270 0.000415 0.000699 0.001312 0.002831 0.008402
2025-03-23 0.000174 0.000261 0.000410 0.000707 0.001376 0.003142 0.010432
2025-03-30 0.000166 0.000254 0.000406 0.000719 0.001458 0.003558 0.013587
2025-04-06 0.000156 0.000241 0.000390 0.000705 0.001476 0.003798 0.016335
2025-04-13 0.000151 0.000237 0.000391 0.000728 0.001594 0.004434 0.023020
2025-04-20 0.000140 0.000221 0.000369 0.000697 0.001561 0.004519 0.026001
2025-04-27 0.000135 0.000215 0.000363 0.000702 0.001630 0.005042 0.034808
2025-05-04 0.000131 0.000212 0.000364 0.000721 0.001747 0.005861 0.051664
2025-05-11 0.000127 0.000208 0.000363 0.000736 0.001858 0.006749 0.077946
2025-05-18 0.000125 0.000206 0.000366 0.000764 0.002018 0.008065 0.134813
2025-05-25 0.000121 0.000201 0.000362 0.000771 0.002111 0.009126 0.216455
2025-06-01 0.000115 0.000193 0.000351 0.000757 0.002126 0.009714 0.305518
2025-06-08 0.000111 0.000188 0.000346 0.000760 0.002205 0.010861 0.531131